Does the Huffington Post Have the Election All Figured Out?

source: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

While waiting for tonight’s second Presidential debate, I wanted to search the electoral outlook on Huffington Post.  According to them, Obama is winning by a landslide with an estimated 271 electoral votes compared to Mitt Romney’s 206 votes.  I think the most valuable information is the historical data on the past results on elections.  See below for an example of the top 12 states with the most electoral votes.  It’s interesting to see the current trends of political power in each of the states.  Florida and Virginia in this example has been a tossup for the Republican party this last election.  Will the Democrats get both of these states this election?

I have no doubt that the historical data is 100% accurate on which candidate won which state in the past.  The only concern I have is how does this current data on polled voters have an impact on people?  The people I’m referring to are people who either have not registered to vote, or were planning on voting, however decide against it because they feel their vote doesn’t really matter by looking at these conducted polls.  Do you think polls like this are accurate deplictions of the current race?

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